USDJPY might be preparing to drop lower towards 109.00 near term

Written by

August 12, 2021

Technical Analysis:

USDJPY bulls had managed to rally towards 110.75/80 levels yesterday before finding strong resistance. Bears are expected to remain in control over the short term, dragging prices towards 109.00 mark at least. Intraday resistance could be seen around 110.50/60 zone.

USDJPY has been unfolding within a larger degree corrective (A)-(B)-(C) rally since 101.18 lows registered in March 2020 as discussed earlier. Within the above wave structure, Waves (A) and (B) are already in place around 111.75 and 102.59 levels respectively.

Since then, a larger degree Wave (C) seems to be unfolding, and minimum expectations are for a push through 112.50 levels. Once the above structure is complete, USDJPY bears might be back in control to drag prices lower retracing the entire rally from 102.59 lows.

Looking into the sub waves within larger degree Wave (C), USDJPY might have already completed Waves (1), (2), (3) and potential (4) around 104.40, 103.30, 111.65 and 108.75 levels respectively. If the above is correct, prices would stay above 108.75 mark and push through 112.50 going forward.

Alternately, Wave (4) might be still unfolding and potential remains for a drop towards 107.50 levels before resuming a Wave (5) rally towards 112.50 levels and higher.

Prepared by

Finacademy Technical Team

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