July 5, 2021
EURUSD seems to be pulling back a bit higher after dropping through 1.1807 lows over the last week. The currency has remained in control of bears since 1.2266 high and is expected to continue lower towards 1.1740 in the near term.
EURUSD might be carving a lower degree wave iv as a triangle or an expanded flat, which could terminate close to 1.2 handle. If correct, we can expect some more sideways action before it could reverse lower towards 1.1740 mark.
Looking into the short term wave counts, EURUSD might complete Wave 3 around 1.1740 levels. It might lead to further pullback towards 1.2020 to terminate Wave 4. Finally, Wave 5 might terminate towards 1.1600 and lower.
If the above structure unfolds accordingly, EURUSD bulls might be poised to produce a counter trend rally thereafter. If the entire drop from 1.2266 unfolds into 5 waves at one larger degree, prices might drop through 1.1300 and 1.0636 levels respectively.
Traders might be preparing to book short term profit around 1.1740 mark and then wait for a pullback to sell higher. Bears are expected to remain in control until prices stay below 1.2250 levels respectively.
Finacademy Technical Team
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